Some last-minute suggestions from J Street

I am not going to make changes to our thermometer, but on a morning call today, J Street’s race-watcher, who follows everything even more closely than I do, mentioned five tossup House races with Blue momentum.

Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (IL-13), Hillary Scholten (MI-03), Dan Feehan (MN-01), Cameron Webb (VA-05) [use our thermometer], and Kathleen Williams (MT-AL).

We have had Scholten, Williams, and Webb up at our ActBlue at various times. Feehan is a 2018 rematch and a win would balance a likely loss in the Iron Range, MN-07, where long-time Conservadem Colin Peterson is running for re-election in a district Trump won by over 20.

J Street also mentioned what could be this cycle’s negative blind-side result: Peter DeFazio in OR-04 is in trouble. (Ratings agencies moved him from Solid to Lean D, and his internal polling is worse.) DeFazio is a true progressive. His opponent, Alex Skarlatos, is the 2020 version of Dan Crenshaw: a young military vet of unquestioned personal courage and undeniable charisma, who doesn’t seem to know much about policy and is likely to learn from the absolute worst people.

Added Mike Siegel TX–10

I’ve put up one more Texas race: Mike Siegel in TX–10, who is repeating his 2018 challenge to Michael McCaul. He lost by 4 in 2018, without getting much attention. He’s a Bernie liberal.

We may still be a cycle or two early, but Texas is where we can pick up significant numbers of seats. There just aren’t many Republicans in California to toss out any more. Texas CDs 3, 10, 21, 22, 23, 24 are all highly competitive (Lean R or better). TX–02, already up, is one of several that can flip on a good night.

If you can, there are many state legislature races looking for small amounts of money. Look for lists from Daily Kos or Democratic Party sources.

In the Mail!

Andy and I drove to the burbs and greatly enjoyed mailing all the letters there. What a great group effort.

Also, as always, our thermometer is on the rise. Now nearing $45,000.

Thanks to everyone for all the work going on and we look forward to seeing everyone next weekend. Meanwhile, if you need help getting active, please let us know.

Greenfield 1, Ernst zero

In a Zoom debate between the Iowa Senate candidates, Dem Theresa Greenfield knew the going price of corn to the penny. Republican incumbent Ernst? Too much time hanging with the DC lobbyists: she was nowhere close on the price of a bushel of soybeans.

I’m told it’s a big deal.

Fax number to tell DiFi to retire

 Her performance in the Judiciary Committee hearings was as weak as the worst predictions, ending with a hug of Lindsey Graham. I’m not even sure she realizes she is supposed to vote No. That fax number? (202)228-3954 [DC Office]

I had a dream I received the following letter.

Dear Andrew,
It’s too bad about Roe v. Wade being overturned. The Republicans packed the Supreme Court, even when I asked them nicely not to. The best way to show them you won’t stand for this is to make a large donation to my 2024 re-election campaign. Yours, Senator Feinstein.

Minutes for the Oct 11 meeting

Action items

  1. We’ll be mailing Vote Forward letters in Lafeyette on Saturday. If you want us to take yours, put them through our mail slot Friday afternoon or evening.
  2. We still have some postcards, and Tony the Democrat still has a few campaigns. Stop by and take what you want from the box on our porch.
  3. With cards and letters almost over, everyone is transitioning to phone and text banks. For phone banking we suggest Flip The West and Swing Left SF. Judy and Karen are deep in texting land. Contact them if you want help. Judy suggest starting with Flip The West texting and move up from there.
  4. Andy is now doing 3 hour shifts with DNC’s Voter Protection Project for Spanish-speaking voters. Emily is with the same project, in English. Lots of people are calling this helpline with voting questions. 90 minutes trainings happen almost every day. [Added Oct 12: Mostly people wanting to know where to vote early in person, how to register, or how to obtain an mail ballot. No lurid tales of voter suppression.]
  5. Working from suggestions at the meeting, Raphael Warnock (Georgia Special) is added to the ActBlue site, and the House races are sorted by promise of success.

Propositions

Below are various recommendations on State and Alameda County propositions, including the Wellstone Club’s and my own. There seems to be unanimity on the best-known ones, but not on 21 (Rent Control) and 24 (Online Privacy), both of which I found, personally, difficult and on which I am not completely certain. Judy mentioned disagreeing with Wellstone’s endorsement of 23 (Dialysis). Feel free to add links to other recommendations (e.g., newspapers) in comments to this post. Y’all do know that you can add comments, right?

Help voters and help protect their votes

Please help us get more volunteers into the pipeline by spreading the word about our next call. Feel free to share via email, FB messenger, and trusted FB groups. Please DO NOT share on Twitter or Instagram to avoid trolls. 
Tuesday, October 13
8:00 – 9:00 p.m. Eastern Time
RSVP Required: CLICK HERE

Trouble Registering? Request Zoom Link
at ProtectVoteVols@gmail.com

Here, as promised, is the information on how to sign up nationally, or to volunteer directly with key states.

LINKS FOR NATIONAL SIGNUPS

National Poll Watcher Sign-up Form:
https://go.joebiden.com/page/s/election-day-voter-protection

National Voter Assistance Hotline Sign-up Form:
https://go.joebiden.com/page/s/Voter-Protection-National-Hotline

National Voter Assistance Hotline Training Sign-up Form:
https://www.mobilize.us/2020victoryvp/event/322975/

Poll Watcher Requirements, State-by-state
https://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/poll-watcher-qualifications.aspx

Voting Requirements in Each State, State-by-state
https://866ourvote.org
https://iwillvote.com/

STATE PRIORITIES AND LINKS ; if you want to focus on a specific state, pick it out on this list and go for it.


Arizona Priorities and Links
A. Poll Observers.  AZ needs more poll observers for both Early Voting (especially in the last week) and on Election Day. Some counties require poll observers to be registered voters, but others, including the largest county, Maricopa county allows out of state poll observers.

B. Volunteer recruitment phone banks (fully remote): Over the next few weeks Arizona volunteer recruitment phone banks will probably shift into a chase/cure phone bank, to help people whose ballots have been rejected. azdem.org/pollobserver

Arizona Voter Hotline: 1-833-VOTE-4-AZ
URL: www.MissionForArizona.com

Questions?         voterprotection@missionforarizona.comFlorida Priorities and Links
A.   Voter Protection Hotline: Remote volunteers (lawyers and nonlawyers). French, Haitian Creole & Spanish needed.

B.  Poll watcher (inside) or poll observer (outside):  Onsite volunteers. Poll watchers don’t need to be lawyers, but it could be helpful in some cases.

Poll Watcher Training: 
https://www.mobilize.us/flavopro/event/326690/

Ballot Cure Calls: 
https://www.mobilize.us/flavopro/event/329039/

Recruit Poll Watchers: 
https://www.mobilize.us/flavopro/event/324712/Hotline Volunteers
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1TmWgIjtV4sPorC6DN7yfWmYs2zI7jhXp_Me6Oo1hswM/viewform?edit_requested=true

Questions?        
brandon.peters@2020victory.com;
Alexa.kissinger@2020victory.com

Iowa Priorities and Links
A.   Voter Protection Hotline: Remote (lawyers and nonlawyers). 

B.  Poll watcher (inside) or poll observer (outside): Onsite. Poll watchers don’t need to be lawyers, but it could be helpful in some cases.

C. Volunteer Recruitment Phone Banking: Remote (lawyers and nonlawyers)

Iowa Voter Protection Sign-up Form 
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc0ZrPrmdSP8_Dsxj03xw6q8HtV6pJTZnn8O2_hHWxGqbSwyg/viewform?gxids=7757

Iowa Volunteer Recruitment Phone Bank:
https://www.mobilize.us/ia2020victoryvp/event/326551/

Poll Watching in Iowa (in-person on Election Day): 
https://www.mobilize.us/ia2020victoryvp/event/337934/

Voter Assistance Iowa Hotline (remote): 
https://www.mobilize.us/ia2020victoryvp/event/324306/

Iowa Chase and Cure Opportunities (remote): 
https://www.mobilize.us/ia2020victoryvp/event/335607/

Iowa Canvassing Board Monitor (in-person): https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSe2JkrTLbh72aa003jWUsCE-fQwlsRMYZvzMpqWkucmPCB31g/viewform

Questions?    dlakin@iowademocrats.org

Maine Priorities and Links
A. Poll Watching and Vote Count Monitoring (onsite): Volunteers are needed to monitor the counting of mail ballots in advance of Election Day (beginning on 10/27) and the casting of absentee ballots in-person at town offices in the 30 days before 11/3. Maine allows out of state poll watchers.

B. Voter Hotline and Mail Ballot Curing: This can be done remotely by anyone. 

Maine Voter Protection Sign-up Form
VoteInMaine.com/act

Questions?         rkessler@mainedems.org

Michigan Priorities and Links
MI Priorities for Volunteers  

A. Early Vote Poll Observers: Early voting started on September 24. Michigan allows  out of state poll observers. sign up at tinyurl.com/earlyvotetraining

B. Election Day Poll Observers: Out of state observers can be poll watchers inside and outside of polling locations on election day. The greatest needs will be in Detroit/Wayne County, Flint, Saginaw, and college towns, Ann Arbor and East Lansing. sign up for training at tinyurl.com/EDayOOSTraining

C. Voter protection volunteers: www.michigandems.com/voterpro

Questions?         meki.bracken@gmail.com

Minnesota Priorities and Links
Issues/Priorities Needs:
A. Poll challengers (inside: must be a MN resident)
B. Outside observers/rovers (does not need to be a MN resident)
C. Canvassing Boards (county canvasses meet on either Nov. 12 or Nov. 13)

Minnesota Voter Protection Sign-up Form 
dfl.org/voterprotection

Questions?  rhaider@dfl.org

North Carolina Priorities and Links
A. Chase/Cure phone bank/hotline: www.tinyurl.com/NCchasecure  Help people whose absentee ballots have been rejected. Doesn’t require a lawyer, but you need to be able to work through a lot of rules (long script) with individuals so that their ballot isn’t rejected again.  

B. Poll observers for early voting and election day: www.tinyurl.com/pollobservers They expect lots of intimidation and really need people on the ground. Anyone from any state can be an outside poll watcher.  Need to be a NC voter to be a poll watcher inside the polls.

C. NC Voter Assistance Hotline: www.tinyurl.com/NCDemVoterHotline  Anyone from any state can do hotline calls. Note: If you have language skills to offer to NC, here is the link: tinyurl.com/hotlinelang

Questions? medha.gargeya@2020victory.com
Pennsylvania Priorities and Links
A. Volunteer Recruitment Phone-banking: www.mobilize.us/padems/event/307537/

B. Poll Observer: www.mobilize.us/pavotepro/event/319170/

C. Vote-Early Monitor: www.mobilize.us/pavotepro/event/317130/  For the first time, all PA voters will soon have the option to vote early in person at their county elections office by requesting, completing, and submitting a mail-in ballot. 

D. Canvass Observer: www.padems.com/votepro  The canvass is generally not open to the public, so voters count on select volunteer canvass observers like you to monitor the process and ensure all eligible votes are counted. Canvass Observers assist elections officials by watching for and reporting issues at their canvass site, stand up for voters if their mail votes are challenged, and report key information to our team.

Questions?         Stephen.Dee@2020victory.com

South Carolina Links
Voter Protection Volunteers
https://bit.ly/VoProVolunteer
Hotline:
https://www.mobilize.us/scdp/event/323053/

Poll Watchers: 
https://www.mobilize.us/scdp/event/321864/ (Tuesdays)
https://www.mobilize.us/scdp/event/321866/ (Thursdays)
https://www.mobilize.us/scdp/event/321870/ (Saturdays)

Boiler Room:
https://www.mobilize.us/scdp/event/323434/

Hotline number: 1-855-785-0222

Questions?  shaundra@scdp.org

Texas Priorities and Links
A. Poll watchers – must be registered voter in the county. Need them for 254 counties. There will be 3 weeks of early voting this year, so they need watchers in each polling place for all three weeks, in addition to election day. There will be a 1-hour on-demand training and constant support. 

B. Phone banking to help recruit in-state poll watchers. Anyone from any state can participate in phone banking to identify and recruit poll watchers.

C. Long term projects – if you have a generous amount of time, they have many projects they could plug you into, especially if you have legal background.  Does not require Texas residency.

Voter Protection for Non-lawyers: Txdem.co/voprovol

Voter Protection for lawyers: TXdem.co/tdla

Questions?         Rmeyerhoff@txdemocrats.org

Wisconsin Links
 Poll Observer Save the Date:
tinyurl.com/wisdemspolls

Protection Recruitment:
bit.ly/wivotersupport

Full Time Assistance:
https://tinyurl.com/WIVoProNonstop

Poll Observer Save the Date:
tinyurl.com/wisdemspolls

Weekend of Action Voter Protection Recruitment (With Special Guest): https://www.mobilize.us/dpw/event/337852/

Poll Worker Info Session (For Wisconsin Residents Only):
https://www.mobilize.us/dpw/event/317342/

Questions: ellen.campbell@2020victory.com