- What NOT to be afraid of the next 100 days and what we should be worrying about Andy
- What we should be doing and how to organize it An update from Win2020 by Naomi and Bruce
- Update from Judy about supporting Vinnie Bacon etc.
Zoom link for Aug 2
Time: Aug 2, 2020 04:30 PM Pacific Time (US and Canada)
Meeting ID: 839 4742 1997
Passcode: 231331
One tap mobile
+13462487799,,83947421997#,,,,,,0#,,231331# US (Houston)
+16699006833,,83947421997#,,,,,,0#,,231331# US (San Jose)
Dial by your location
+1 346 248 7799 US (Houston)
+1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose)
+1 929 205 6099 US (New York)
+1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)
+1 301 715 8592 US (Germantown)
+1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 839 4742 1997
Passcode: 231331
Find your local number: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/kekB7ctRFo
A look at Senate Bang for Buck
Judy Stacey was nice enough to get me a speaking slot to the Wellstone Democratic Club. My points were familiar to Indivisible Elmwood participants.
- Don’t give money out of spite (McGrath in KY, probably Gideon in ME).
- Don’t give money to candidates who already have all they can use (Kelly in AZ, Jones in AL).
- Look for Democratic candidates for whom money can truly make the difference between winning and losing (Gross in AK, Ossoff in GA)
I prepared a spreadsheet that also showed how much more (or less) our candidates have compared to the opponent.
EDIT: A full-size version of this spreadsheet is here, and of our slate, here.
Minutes from July 19
Well, if you were at the meeting, you will understand that I am enabling the Waiting Room. The alternative is not exposing the link in a public forum, which will complicate our long-term growth strategy. I will have someone make sure you don’t get left in Purgatory.
We made decision on current fund-raising (Al Gross, Jon Ossoff now; House and State House races later). The ActBlue page has been updated and I reset the thermometer. Let’s send it high again.
I also reviewed why I think these races are good value for money and effort.
For the special campaign of Vote Forward for August 11, which is to get Floridians to vote in their August 11 primary, either email Naomi or go to http://www.votefwd.com.
Bruce said the last national Indivisible call had “a lot of meat”—Call notes. He also plans to sign up for the virtual workshop Training to Win 2020: How We Win During a Pandemic. Also, VirusFreeVoting.org rolls the Voterizer app on Saturday, July 25th at 5:00 (PT) on social media. Theme is a Trump Retirement Party.
We are going to try to coordinate our auction items with EBAA, which has an auction of its own.
Zoom link for July 19 meeting
Topic: Indivisible Elmwood
Time: Jul 19, 2020 04:30 PM Pacific Time (US and Canada)
Meeting ID: 871 6899 7501
Passcode: 970545
One tap mobile
+16699006833,,87168997501#,,,,,,0#,,970545# US (San Jose)
+13462487799,,87168997501#,,,,,,0#,,970545# US (Houston)
Dial by your location
+1 669 900 6833 US (San Jose)
+1 346 248 7799 US (Houston)
+1 253 215 8782 US (Tacoma)
+1 929 205 6099 US (New York)
+1 301 715 8592 US (Germantown)
+1 312 626 6799 US (Chicago)
Meeting ID: 871 6899 7501
Passcode: 970545
Find your local number: https://us02web.zoom.us/u/keeSBAEwW8
Quick update
At our meeting this Sunday at 4:30 we’ll finalize our slate.
Meanwhile, I have lots of T.J. Cox addresses for anyone who wants some. Postcards on the porch. Email me for addresses.
Click here for Day of Action for T. J.
Finally, we will be swapping in a new campaign for our thermometer so let’s do a final push for our two North Carolina candidates before our meeting.
Alameda County Sheriff
Judy Stacey forwards a poster from the Urban Peace Movement. They’re running a phone/social media campaign on our local law enforcement.
Alaska polls
Public Policy Polling (PPP) is out with polling from Alaska.
You heard it here first, but these are the sleeper races. They have Biden trailing Trump by 3, 45–48. Al Gross is still almost unknown, but trails by only 5, 34–39. (An incumbent with 39 is in trouble.) And Alyse Galvin is up(!) 2, 43–41.
Alaskan voters don’t seem to realize there’s a Senate race this fall. Democrats need to change that ASAP, and Alaska is a dirt cheap state to advertise in. Not sure what the hold up is.
Good point. Although Gross has been outraised so far, he’s being noticed. He’s done several joint fundraisers with better-known Lower 48 Democrats. My next check to him will suggest it’s time for him to get moving.
Minutes from July 5 meeting
Most of the meeting was discussion of Indivisible Elmwood endorsements. I presented a chart.
We eliminated the strikeouts, either as too much of a long shot, or because we think we will be just as effective supporting down-ballot races in the same jurisdiction. (Since the meeting, Bullock and Cunningham reported enormous cash hauls, making up significant deficits relative to Team COVID.) We will make a final decision at the next meeting. Current prospects are in yellow background. Bollier may be added if Kobach is her opponent.
Current polling is, of course, favorable. Here is an Internet op-ed from the WaPo pointing out conventional wisdom in April and May was that Trump had reached his nadir, but fell further. If the coronavirus picks up in the Sun Belt, which looks very plausible right now, even Trump’s current support could weaken.
In other meeting news, Bruce reported that the Movement Voter Project was favorably impressed with donations that came in through Indivisible Elmwood links. And Judy spoke favorable of Alameda Supervisor candidate Vinnie Bacon: much better on law and justice than the conservative competitor. We’ll be hearing more about him, too.
Agenda for today 4:30-5:30
Big event! Today we will decide on the Elmwood Invisible Slate, combining Sister District recommendations and Andy’s analysis to figure out which are the races that we can have the most impact on and how (from local house races up through Senate) . Bring your ideas and we’ll hash this out together. Our past record is really good—let’s see if we can help some just under-the-radar elections to win on our way to White House and then win them. Also on the agenda, some reports of works in progress and resources.
https://us02web.zoom.us/j/84079615742?pwd=eVFockVaajFmY20wRTF2ekkrR2hwdz09
Indivisible Elmwood 