Notes from the March 15th meeting

Action item mostly accomplished: Sixty postcards for Randy Villegas, CA–22. Sixty postcards for Virginia referendum on temporary gerrymandering (their version of Prop 50). If successful, VA would swing four seats to the Democrats. Postcard stamp scarcity is upon us again!?

Via Bruce: The Tri-Valley Democrats are having a Governor candidate forum on Zoom at 6:30 pm today. [Everyone is looking for the candidates mired at the bottom of the polls to give up, to avoid the disaster of Republicans taking both of the top-two slots while six or seven Democrats split the rest. The two most recent polls I have seen had the Republicans in first and third, but one had Eric Swalwell in second while the other placed Katie Porter there.]

Also via Bruce: Leah and Ezra of National Indivisible have special interest in CA-22. A call in partnership with Central Valley Matters is scheduled for March 30, 6:00 pm. Zoom link.

Sally brought the latest sample Vote Forward letters. Too long, as usual. My hope is they are the (losing) part of an A/B test.

Link to Bay Resistance.

Current list of March 28 No Kings events near here.

Events are also listed for Albany, Kensington, Piedmont, El Cerrito del Norte, Richmond, Alameda, Lafayette, etc.

No meeting on 3/29. We’ll be recovering from the 3/28 marches!

Notes from the March 1st meeting

We reviewed the election landscape in California, especially CA–22 and the governor’s race. As Bruce pointed out, the state Democratic Convention failed to reach the 60% endorsement threshold for either of these races. There’s even some fear that with eight Democrats splitting the pro-D vote, the two Republicans will end up advancing to the general election. Notwithstanding sentiment at the convention, we expect Democrats who can’t self-fund and are polling in single digits will drop out before June.

I went over the National Indivisible’s first three Democratic primary endorsements. I promised a video [coming soon] to go with the printed version, which is appended below. Two are trailing their opponent in fundraising and the third is an essential upgrade. Sally caught Leah’s and Ezra’s weekly What’s The Plan call. The official summary:

Ann Overton brought an origami butterfly from the No Kings Art Build. The next event is Saturday, March 7, 1:00–5:00, in the Mills College area. You can sign up for that session and/or March 8, 14, and 15 with Mobilize.

We finished with 100 postcards for the Virginia Redistricting referendum, which was approved by the Virginia Supreme Court today.

Our Friday protests have grown (82 last week), but we still have enough chocolate for everyone. Indivisible Berkeley is starting a similar weekly protest, Wednesdays at 4:30–5:30 at MLK & Russell.

Graham Platner has the rizz

Tonight I went to a fundraiser for Graham Platner, the unconventional candidate running for the U.S. Senate from Maine. First he has to get past current Maine governor Janet Mills (age 78) in the primary, then gold-medalist concern troll Susan Collins in the general. A poll today has him ahead of both by double digits.

Platner has charisma. He was a Marine non-com, with some of the mien and voice (deep, a little rumbly) that you’d expect. On the other hand, he used to sing in community theatre musicals, which is why he thinks he doesn’t get nervous speaking to crowds. Of course, he was facing a very friendly audience. He’s a long-time Berniecrat, in a rural area that’s usual hostile to Democrats (although his parents were Democrats). He explained how an economic populist message will win, focusing on how the working class has not shared in recent economic gains. Basically, he has the education and worldliness that most of his peers lack to reject voting MAGA out of mere resentment. He says that he has a larger volunteer network, per capita, than Zohran Mamdani did. He also mentioned that, like Mamdani, the Democratic establishment had its heart set on another candidate, which Platner attributed in considerable part to the malign influence of money on elections and the accommodations the DSCC and other D.C. Dems make to obtain it.

Platner is outraising Mills 2 to 1, but Collins will be getting massive PAC money. I don’t know if Platner will need it, though. I think all the Democratic Senate candidates will have deep pockets.

Notes from the 2/15 meeting

I reported on the relatively favorable forecast for the House and the key Senate races. The most contentious California race, among Democrats, is the primary to take on David Valadao, the Republican in CA–22. The candidates are Randy Villegas and the more conservative Democrat Dr. Jasmeet Bains, who appears to be the favorite of out-of-area Democratic leadership. Conversely, Villegas is the favorite of Democratic leaders in the district, Dolores Huerta, and our colleague Mary Boergers, who leads the Berkeley chapter of Central Valley Matters. There will be a Villegas fundraiser this Friday, 5:00–7:00. If interested, you can sign up here.

Note that Sister District has renamed itself States Win, so that is how I will refer to it from now on. With the exception of a Michigan special election, they have not picked any races yet. They are playing in more states than last cycle, including Nevada, Arizona, Michigan, and North Carolina. We’ve written postcards or raised money in those states before. Nicole Zambrano has left States Win for grad school; Ariana Ybarra replaces her as the West Coast Organizing Manager. She warned me, they are fond of phonebanking.

Volunteers for roles in Indivisible Elmwood:

  • CA Indivisible – Bruce
  • National Indivisible and Vote Forward — Sally
  • Indivisible Berkeley & Indivisible East Bay — Estella
  • States Win — Martha
  • Central Valley Matters — Ann O.

[Martha and Estella: I will be granting you author permission for this website. I believe everyone else who volunteered has it already.]

We distributed 100 postcards encouraging turnout for the North Carolina primary. No need to bring them back here, unless you need some stamps.

Our protests have grown to over 100; ICE murders served as a a recruitment tool. They are currently 4:15–5:15. We will revert to 5:00–6:00 after the Daylight Savings switch.

Indivisible Berkeley is organizing a new weekly protest at MLK & Russell, Wednesdays 4:30–5:30 pm. Starts March 4.

Back to work! Meeting Sunday, February 15, 4:00 pm, usual place

Everything seems to be heating up a little, including resistance to the Orange Fascists. We can win the election in November, but first we have to make it that far.

Protests continue every Friday, including today, College & Ashby, 4:15–5:15 pm. We will move them later once we have more daylight. Last week we gave out 600 flyers. I ordered more for this week.

Those of you who don’t know where meetings are held, send me an email.

UPDATE: By popular demand, the current flyer. (We have it printed double-sided and sliced.) Note that the next major No Kings rallies will be March 28.

Central Valley Matters virtual fundraiser 12/4

From our colleagues at CVM:

California gave our country hope on Nov. 4th — and now the country needs us to step up again! Central Valley Matters (CVM) volunteers were thrilled to see the great turnout by young people and Latinos across the nation. We are laser focused on CD-22 — a congressional district that is young (median age 30 years old) and 73% Latino, where folks on the ground are angry and energized now more than ever! On December 4th at 5:30 PST please join CVM to hear the latest updates from powerhouse Central Valley insiders to learn why your support truly matters.

District 22 is held by David Valadao. With the Prop 50 redistricting, it’s a toss-up, but if we get people registered and to the polls, demographically it’s Blue. Link to sign up for the fundraiser. Alternatively, link to ActBlue for donations.

Minutes from the Nov 9 meeting

We met in good spirits from the Prop 50 win and Virginia election results. As a quick recap, everyone we worked for in Virginia won: Michael Feggans by about 15 points, May Nivar by over 10, and Jessica Anderson by about 5. Those last two are part of the 13[!] flips in their House of Delegates.

I went over the Prop 50 implications. Republican Young Kim’s seat (CA–40) is now a Republican sink, no longer competitive. In return, Doug LaMalfa (CA–01) and Kevin Kiley (CA–03) are now in bright blue districts; they are toast. So is Ken Calvert (CA–41), whose district is completely redrawn and who now finds himself in Kim’s district. The competitive districts we have to work to flip are Darrell Issa (CA–48) and David Valadao (CA–22). Democrat Adam Gray (CA–13), who barely won in 2024, has been helped a little, but it is only leaning Democratic. Josh Harder (CA–09) is safe. His district moved from Lean to Solid Democratic. Save your money.

I promised the link to the Thursday national Indivisible zooms. Here.

There was some rain on the parade, when the Coward Caucus in the Democratic Party gave up on the shutdown. As Coward Angus King said, “Standing up to Donald Trump didn’t work.” Truly Churchillian in its adamance. Here are phone numbers of this crew, so you can express your appreciation. Coward Jeanne Shaheen was apparently the leader, and speaks of looking forward to working with the Republicans on the ACA extensions. Today the Republicans said the starting point would be abortion bans. Shaheen’s own daughter, who is running for Congress, called the cave a big mistake [gift link]. Thanksgiving at their house is gonna be a blast.

Here are their excuses, and a list of all senators’ phone numbers. (The numbers all start 202-224, which is abbreviated to 4).